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Federal Reserve officials speak intensively, global PMI debuts collectively
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: Federal Reserve officials speak intensively, and the global PMI will appear collectively." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Next week (September 22-26), the global financial market will usher in a "policy speech wave" after the end of the Federal Reserve's silent period. The FOMC vote www.xmtraders.committee has intensively spoken out to become the core focus of the market. Coupled with key economic data such as European and American PMI, US core PCE, and the movements of multiple central governments, it is expected that the US dollar index will fall into a high volatility range.
Non-US currencies such as the euro and pound may show differentiation with data and policy signals. Gold is supported by inflation and policy uncertainty and has opportunities to fluctuate upward, while crude oil needs to keep a close eye on the game between inventory data and demand expectations.
Overall, if Fed officials release a dove-like signal, it will suppress the US dollar and benefit gold; if hawkish arguments are intensive, it may intensify foreign exchange market differentiation and risky asset fluctuations. Investors also need to pay attention to the "expected difference" between the economic data and policy statements of major economies, and be wary of short-term disturbances caused by sudden public opinion.
On Monday (September 22), the Federal Reserve's policy clue index was paid attention to
At 9 a.m. on Monday, RBA Chairman Brock will deliver a speech, and his remarks will reveal his views on inflation or the economy and policy tendencies against Australia, which will directly affect the trend of the Australian dollar and also form a linkage effect on www.xmtraders.commodity currencies such as the New York dollar.
European economic data will gradually appear in the afternoon. The difference in the UK CBI industrial orders and the initial value of the euro zone's September consumer confidence index will be released one after another, both reflecting data on economic growth.
In the evening, the speech of the Federal Reserve members kicked off, 2025 FOMC vote www.xmtraders.committee, St. LouisFederal Reserve Chairman Mousalem (hawkishly stance) will make a speech on the US economic prospects and monetary policy. Subsequently, FOMC Permanent Voting www.xmtraders.committee and New York Fed Chairman Williams (the "No. 3") will speak on monetary policy and economic prospects. As one of the core policy decision makers, his statement directly affects the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's subsequent interest rate path and has an impact on the US dollar and gold.
On Tuesday (September 23), the global PMI was released intensively, and the stock market fluctuations were amplified, and the Fed officials spoke to magnify fluctuations. On Tuesday, the market will usher in a "PMI data day". Data released intensively during the Asian and European period: the initial values of manufacturing PMI in France, Germany and the euro zone were announced in September, followed by the preliminary values of manufacturing and service PMI in the UK in September, and the final values of manufacturing PMI in the US in September were made. As a "primary indicator" reflecting the economic prosperity, whether PMI is a shot in the global stock market or will pour cold water on it depends on this day.
In addition to the data, the Federal Reserve's "speech matrix" continues to make efforts: the 2026 FOMC voter, Cleveland Fed Chairman Hamake, 2027 FOMC voter, Richmond Fed Chairman Barkin and Atlanta Fed Chairman Bostic will deliver speeches on the economic situation one after another. The three voters have different positions and the market needs to focus on capturing their differences on inflation, employment and interest rate paths.
On Wednesday (September 24), crude oil inventories set the direction, and the Bank of Canada and real estate data added variables
On Wednesday, Bank of Canada Governor McClum delivered a speech affecting the Canadian dollar exchange rate. At the same time, both the US API and EIA will release crude oil inventory.
In addition, data on new home sales in the United States will be released on the same day (new home sales are the "leading indicator" of the economy, which can show the potential of economic growth and the vitality of the industrial chain)
On Thursday (September 25), the employment and inflation data "double sound", and the Federal Reserve's speech made another stir. Thursday was mainly the number of people who requested unemployment benefits in the United States and the number of people who requested unemployment benefits last week, as well as the United States' quarterly GDP, CPI and core PCE data.
On the same day, the total annualized number of existing home sales in the United States in August (existing home sales account for 90% of residential transactions in the United States, which is the "barometer" of the real estate market) will also be announced. If the sales data of existing homes rebound, it reflects the recovery of residents' demand for home purchases, suggesting that consumer confidence will strengthen and support the US dollar.
Fed officials followed up in the evening, with San Francisco Fed Chairman Daley, Chicago Fed Chairman Goulsby, and New York Fed Chairman Williams speaking out one after another, and their statements on the status and monetary policy of the US dollar may trigger short-term fluctuations in the US dollar index.
Friday (September 26) US core PCE finale
Japan inflation data was the first to appear on Friday, Japan announced the annual rate of Tokyo CPI in September
The "final data" appeared in the evening, and the annual rate of the US core PCE price index in August (the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve is most concerned about) will be announced, and the final value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in September was also announced.
At the same time, San Francisco Fed Chairman Daley and Federal Reserve Director Bowman made speeches one after another, and may www.xmtraders.comment on the PCE data just released.
The above content is all about "[XM Forex Official Website]: Federal Reserve officials speak intensively, and the global PMI is collectively unveiled". It is carefully www.xmtraders.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!
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