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3.4 Analysis of the latest market trend of gold and crude oil rising in shock and today’s operation suggestions

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: 3.4 The latest market trend analysis of the volatile rise of gold and crude oil and today's operation suggestions." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

There are no absolutes in the market, and there is no set trend in ups and downs. Therefore, a balanced judgment on the ups and downs of market conditions is your magic weapon to win. desire! There is an Italian proverb: Let money be our loyal servant, otherwise it will become a domineering master. Both short and long positions can make money, only greed cannot. Do you control your desires or do your desires control you? The ancients said: If you don't accumulate silicon, you can't reach a thousand miles; if you don't accumulate small streams, you can't become a river or sea. I hope this sentence can become a mutual encouragement between us. Know yourself! People know themselves, and the principles are valid in any industry, and the same is true in the financial circle. If you don't know it, you will make mistakes, and making mistakes will make you sad. People need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing. Stay flexible and don't have to trade in every band. The secret to profitable trading is to implement simple rules, do simple things repeatedly, and implement them strictly for a long time!

Analysis of gold’s latest market trend:

Analysis of gold news: In early Asian trading on Wednesday (March 4), spot gold fluctuated and rose within a narrow range. It is currently trading near the 5150 mark. Geopolitical uncertainty will still be one of the main themes in 2026. Coupled with continued gold purchases by global central banks and potential monetary easing, gold’s safe haven and anti-inflation properties remain irreplaceable. Short-term traders need to be wary of further gains in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, but if there are any signs of easing in the situation in the Middle East or an unexpected restoration of energy supplies, gold may usher in a rapid V-shaped rebound. Today, the market will continue to pay attention to the latest war situation in the Middle East, navigation developments in the Strait of Hormuz, and the latest statements from European and American central bank officials on energy impacts. At 20:30 Beijing time, the United States will announce February ADP employmentData and ISM service industry PMI, as well as the February ISM non-manufacturing index released at 22:00, are key windows for observing the US economic resilience and inflationary pressure. Investors need to pay close attention to breaking geopolitical news, as volatility may continue to increase.

Gold technical analysis: Looking back at the overall picture of the gold market yesterday, the market showed an extremely volatile trend of "shooting high - falling sharply - rebounding in late trading", and the long-short game was extremely intense. Gold opened at 5331 points in early trading. After the opening, gold continued its recent remaining bullish momentum and directly pushed up. The daily line reached a maximum of 5380.6 points, which is only one step away from the previous high. It seems that it is expected to continue the upward trend. But the good times did not last long. After hitting the high point, the market quickly came under pressure. The power of shorts exploded. The market started a strong decline mode. Not only did it fall below the key support level in the early stage, but it also fell below 5260, the low of the previous day's shooting star. After the support level was effectively broken down, the kinetic energy of the shorts was further released, and the market accelerated its downward trend.

Yesterday’s downward trend in the market exceeded short-term expectations, with the daily line reaching as low as 4994.5 points, and the maximum intraday correction being close to 390 points. Such large fluctuations were not only driven by the continued strength of the U.S. dollar index, but also stemmed from the concentrated settlement of market profits, coupled with multiple negative resonance effects such as macro liquidity changes and market sentiment switches, further aggravating the correction. However, after hitting the periodic low of 4994.5, the market's low buying sentiment began to intervene, and the market rose slightly in late trading. Finally, the daily line closed at 5090.3 points, forming a large negative line with a lower shadow line longer than the upper shadow line.

Judging from the K-line shape, this large negative line with a lower shadow line longer than the upper shadow line contains a clear market signal. www.xmtraders.combining the position theory and fighting theory in the K-line theory, this form appeared after the early high shock, which not only reflects the strength of the short force, but also reflects the support of the buying below - the existence of the lower shadow line, indicating that there is a large amount of buying intervention at the 4994.5 line, the short kinetic energy has been released at the low level, and the space for further sharp decline in the short term is limited, and the long and short forces will enter a new game stage. At the same time, London gold prices experienced a sharp correction yesterday, with a drop of 4.19%, reaching the lowest point of 4995.98. This echoed the market review reviewed in this article and confirmed the integrity and universality of this correction.

Focusing on today’s market, www.xmtraders.combined with yesterday’s K-line pattern and market sentiment, the core logic of the short-term market will shift from “short dominance” to “stabilization and rebound.” The rally at the end of yesterday has released a signal for low-level buying to intervene, and the 4990-5000 line serves as a key support range near yesterday's low, and is also an important retracement level of the early surge. The long and short parties are www.xmtraders.competing here fiercely, and it is expected to form a phased stabilization pattern. From a technical perspective, yesterday's sharp correction did not break the mid-term upward trend established by the February monthly line. The short-term correction is more of a technical break under the game of long and short power, and is also a high-quality opportunity to place long orders at a low level.

In terms of operational strategy, www.xmtraders.combined with today’s market forecast, the core idea is “go long on dips”, focus on seizing the intervention opportunities after the correction stabilizes. Specifically, if gold falls back to around 5,000 points in early trading today, you can take advantage of the trend and place long orders. The stop loss is set at 4,990 points. The bottom relies on 4,990 points as a short-term key support to prevent the risk of extreme corrections. This stop loss position is close to yesterday's low, which can not only effectively avoid the risk of short-term continuation, but also capture rebound profits after the market stabilizes. In terms of targets, in the short term, we can look at 5110 and 5150 points in sequence. If we can successfully break through 5150 points, we can further look at 5200 points in the future, gradually recovering some of the losses from yesterday's correction.

Analysis of the latest crude oil market trend:

Crude oil news analysis: In early Asian trading on Wednesday (March 4, Beijing time), U.S. crude oil was trading around $75.30 per barrel. Oil prices rose by more than 5% on Tuesday. Tensions in the Middle East escalated. Israel and the United States military launched violent attacks on multiple targets in Iran, triggering Iran to carry out retaliatory attacks in the Persian Gulf. The conflict has spread to Lebanon. Affected by the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East, oil prices surged by more than 5%, closing at the highest level since January 2025. Brent crude oil futures closed up $3.66 at $81.40 per barrel; U.S. crude oil futures closed up $3.33 at $74.56 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices have risen by 12% since the conflict broke out last Saturday.

Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level of crude oil, oil prices have risen above 70. The moving average system is arranged in a long position, and the objective trend direction in the medium term is upward. In terms of kinetic energy, the MACD indicator opens upward above the zero axis, and bulls have the advantage. The medium-term trend is expected to maintain an upward trend. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil shot up to around 78 and then fell back. Oil prices are still supported by the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction remains unchanged. The MACD indicator formed a top divergence from the zero-axis high, and the bullish momentum showed a weakening signal. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will still be mainly upward during the day. On the whole, today's crude oil operation thinking is based on He Bosheng's suggestion to rebound low and long, supplemented by rebounding high. The top short-term focus is on the 77.0-79.0 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 74.0-72.0 first-line support.

This article is exclusively planned by He Bosheng, a gold and crude oil analyst. Due to the delay of network push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestions in this article are for learning reference only. You should operate at your own risk. Regardless of whether the views and strategies of the article agree with others, you can www.xmtraders.come to me to discuss and learn together! Nothing is difficult in the world, as long as there are people who are willing. Investment itself carries risks. I remind everyone to look for authoritative platforms and powerful teachers. Fund safety www.xmtraders.comes first, secondly consider operational risks, and finally how to make profits.

The above content is all about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: 3.4 Gold Crude Oil Shock and Rise Latest Market Trend Analysis and Today's Operation Suggestions". It was carefully www.xmtraders.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful toYour trade helps! Thanks for the support!

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