Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason

We offer a superior trading environment that puts traders in the best position to profit.

Get a 50% Bonus up to $250 *Limited-Time Offer

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

EURUSD

Euro vs U.S. Dollar

US500

S&P 500 (US500)

GOLD

Gold

COFFEE

US Coffee

Apple

Apple (AAPL.OQ)

Finance Magnates 颁发
Finance Magnates 颁发
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
COLWMA 2024年颁赠
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
FX168于2020年12月颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
2017年伦敦财富管理奖
2016最佳本土客户服务
中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
投查查于2024年颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
World Finance 2021颁发
World Finance 2021颁发
FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
FOLLOWME交易社区授予
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
FinTech Age Awards颁发
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
2016年最佳黄金经纪商
2016年最佳外汇经纪商
2015年最佳本地客户服务
Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
2015最佳外汇交易平台
2015最佳金融交易平台
2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
金融行业的佼佼者
认证最优金牌级别
2014年首届亚军
Finance Magnates 颁发
Finance Magnates 颁发
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
COLWMA 2024年颁赠
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
FX168于2020年12月颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
2017年伦敦财富管理奖
2016最佳本土客户服务
中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
投查查于2024年颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
World Finance 2021颁发
World Finance 2021颁发
FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
FOLLOWME交易社区授予
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
FinTech Age Awards颁发
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
2016年最佳黄金经纪商
2016年最佳外汇经纪商
2015年最佳本地客户服务
Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
2015最佳外汇交易平台
2015最佳金融交易平台
2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
金融行业的佼佼者
认证最优金牌级别
2014年首届亚军
Finance Magnates 颁发
Finance Magnates 颁发
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
COLWMA 2024年颁赠
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
FX168于2020年12月颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
2017年伦敦财富管理奖
2016最佳本土客户服务
中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
投查查于2024年颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
World Finance 2021颁发
World Finance 2021颁发
FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
FOLLOWME交易社区授予
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
FinTech Age Awards颁发
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
2016年最佳黄金经纪商
2016年最佳外汇经纪商
2015年最佳本地客户服务
Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
2015最佳外汇交易平台
2015最佳金融交易平台
2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
金融行业的佼佼者
认证最优金牌级别
2014年首届亚军
Finance Magnates 颁发
Finance Magnates 颁发
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
COLWMA 2024年颁赠
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖
荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
FX168于2020年12月颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
2017年伦敦财富管理奖
2016最佳本土客户服务
中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
2015年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠
荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠
荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠
2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠
投查查于2024年颁赠
Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
CFI.co于2023年颁赠
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
CFI.co于2022年颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
CFI.co于2021年颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇颁赠
World Finance 2021颁发
World Finance 2021颁发
FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
CFI.co于2020年颁赠
荣获Global Business Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020
FOLLOWME交易社区授予
Global Forex Awards颁赠
Global Forex Awards颁赠
FinTech Age Awards颁发
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠
荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠
荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠
荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017
2016年最佳黄金经纪商
2016年最佳外汇经纪商
2015年最佳本地客户服务
Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
2015最佳外汇交易平台
2015最佳金融交易平台
2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
金融行业的佼佼者
认证最优金牌级别
2014年首届亚军

Awarded BestBrokerYear After Year

location: Home > News > market analysis

XM Forex Trading Platform

News

market analysis

Greenland tariff tag expires? An exploration of the market logic behind the "immunity" of European and American exchange rates

Wonderful introduction:

Let me worry about the endless thoughts, tossing and turning, looking at the moon. The full moon hangs high, scattering bright lights all over the ground. www.xmtraders.come to think of it, the bright moon will be ruthless, thousands of years of wind and frost will be gone, and passion will grow old easily. If you have love, you should grow old with the wind. Knowing that the moon is ruthless, why do you always place your love on the bright moon?

Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: Greenland tariff tag invalid? The market logic behind the "immunity" of European and American exchange rates". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

Asian Market Trends

Last Friday, Trump expressed his hope that Hassett would remain in his original position. The market speculated that Hassett's chances of becoming the chairman of the Federal Reserve were reduced. The U.S. dollar index reversed its decline. As of now, the U.S. dollar is quoted at 99.15.

Overview of Foreign Exchange Market Fundamentals

Federal Reserve News:

①Trump: Wants Hassett to remain in his original position.

② Hassett downplayed the criminal investigation against Federal Reserve Chairman Powell; saying that if he serves as Federal Reserve Chairman, he will promise to maintain the independence of the Federal Reserve.

③ Federal Reserve Board Governor Bowman focused on the potential risk of layoffs and called for no signal to suspend interest rate cuts.

The situation in Iran:

① Special envoy of the US President: The United States prefers to resolve the tense situation in Iran through diplomatic means.

②According to AXIOS: Mossad Director visited the United States to hold talks on the Iranian issue. It is reported that the US military is deploying more defensive and offensive capabilities to the area to enable rapid action.

③Putin had phone calls with the President of Iran and Netanyahu respectively about the situation in Iran.

Other news:

Trump will raise taxes on eight European countries over Greenland, and the EU will hold an emergency meeting; Trump: Tariffs may be imposed on countries that hold different views on the Greenland issue; Eight European countries joint statement: Trump threatens to impose tariffs to undermine transatlantic relations and may lead to a dangerous vicious cycle; FaceIn response to Trump's tariff threats, Macron said he would request the activation of EU anti-coercion tools if necessary. Many EU countries are considering imposing additional tariffs on 93 billion euros of US goods exported to the EU, and the EU is considering holding an offline summit on Thursday, January 22.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent: Greenland is vital to U.S. national security and the United States must control the island.

It was revealed that the acting president met with the director of the CIA.

The White House is considering taking administrative measures to limit credit card interest rates; Trump will announce his 401(k) housing investment plan this week.

U.S. defense officials: About 1,500 paratroopers from the 11th Airborne Division are on alert or may be deployed to Minnesota.

The U.S.-led coalition fighter jets flew over the conflict zone in northern Syria, projecting warning flares; the Syrian government and the "Syrian Democratic Forces" (SDF) reached an agreement: a www.xmtraders.comprehensive ceasefire, and the SDF will transfer all oil field rights to the Syrian government; all SDF troops will be integrated into the Syrian Ministry of Defense; Syrian national institutions will enter the eastern and northeastern provinces.

NVIDIA corrected the incorrect statement in the technical paper and significantly reduced the copper usage in the data center.

Summary of institutional views

UBS Group: The Liberal Democratic Party is expected to take the lead, and the United States and Japan may peak in...

Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae is considering dissolving the House of Representatives and holding a general election at the beginning of the regular session starting on January 22. We believe the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is expected to gain more than half of the seats, which will strengthen market expectations for long-term leadership.

In the short term, if the Liberal Democratic Party's majority is consolidated, market expectations for further easing of fiscal and monetary policies may put USD/JPY under upward pressure. Even so, we believe the weak yen and rising JGB yields will act as a "circuit breaker", prompting the government to maintain a prudent fiscal stance (i.e. avoid overly aggressive fiscal expansion). With USD/JPY rising above 158, Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said this week that she and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent were concerned about "unilateral weakness in the yen." Such statements have been made many times in recent months.

Therefore, we still believe that USD/JPY will peak at 158 to 160 levels. Looking ahead to the next 12 months, we believe USD/JPY has the potential and room to gradually move lower for two reasons: first, as Japan's real yields improve (i.e., nominal yields rise while inflation gradually falls), the impetus for capital outflows should weaken; second, as the US-Japan interest rate gap narrows, leading to lower FX hedging costs, and the JPY is at a depressed level, we believe FX hedging activities are likely to increase, thereby pushing USD/JPY lower. These dynamics are already reflected in our existing USD/JPY forecasts, but we also acknowledge that USD/JPY's downside could slow if a snap election brings a decisive shift in fiscal bias.

Deutsche Bank: Trump is keen on Greenland, and the following four scenarios may occur...

The direction of Trump’s Greenland policy is stillNot sure, but it can be summarized into four scenarios. The baseline judgment is that Trump will push for a www.xmtraders.comprehensive agreement that covers part of the aforementioned package. Greenland and Denmark hope to ease friction without losing sovereignty, but the terms Trump would accept are unclear, so all possibilities, including military options, still need to be evaluated.

Option one is to reach an agreement around core interests without touching on sovereignty issues. Greenland and Denmark oppose the "acquisition" statement and hope to meet U.S. concerns through negotiations. Possible measures include restricting Sino-Russian investment, allowing the U.S. military to permanently station, expanding radar and missile warning and other facilities, implementing long-term leases of ports, airports, and submarine cables, and restarting cooperation on key minerals and infrastructure.

Option two is long-term strategic leasing, similar to the Guantanamo Bay or Diego Garcia model. Denmark retains sovereignty and Greenland maintains autonomy, while the United States gains key access to bases, ports or shipping, as well as de facto control over specific areas, in exchange for providing Greenland with revenue, infrastructure and security.

The third option is a free association agreement, which is based on the arrangements between the United States and Micronesia, the Marshall Islands or Palau. The United States provides defense and economic support in exchange for strategic access, and does not even rule out taking a form similar to a US territory. Some officials have discussed offering high one-time www.xmtraders.compensation to local residents to gain support.

Option four is military intervention. If the issue cannot be resolved peacefully, military options are still under discussion, but this will seriously impact US-EU relations and even trigger Article 5 of NATO, triggering a political crisis between NATO and Europe. Such actions will further highlight the weakening of post-war international order and rules, causing a fundamental impact on the leadership of the United States.

Citibank

In response to Japanese Finance Minister Katayama’s latest statement, we believe this is likely to be the strongest verbal warning issued by the official before implementing substantive intervention. As the yen exchange rate approaches the key psychological mark of 160, and conventional warning measures have limited effect, the official stance has been significantly upgraded. This time it not only reiterated its readiness to take "bold action", but also crucially revealed that the United States and Japan have reached an agreement on the possibility of joint intervention.

From the perspective of trading strategies, the current verbal intervention is nearing its peak. Considering that the real effective exchange rate of the Japanese yen is already lower than the level at the time of the intervention in 2024, and the exchange rate is close to the 160 mark, the risk-reward ratio of continuing to chase the US dollar against the Japanese yen (i.e. shorting the Japanese yen) has deteriorated significantly at this time. It may be a safer choice to indirectly express a bullish view on the yen by shorting the euro against the yen.

London and New York trading desks were equally cautious. As the market remains overweight with short positions on the yen, rising uncertainty may trigger a "first-order effect" collective reduction in positions. The New York trading team clearly prefers to place short USD/JPY positions on rallies in the 158.80/159.00 area.

Although intervention risks continue to be high, strategists remind investors to remain rational. Against the background that risk appetite in the U.S. and Japanese stock markets remains resilient, the yen's room for strength may be limited. Even if there is a correction, it is expected thatThe downside of USD/JPY in the next few weeks may mainly revolve around the 157 line, and the probability of a collapse-like decline is relatively low.

Swedish Nordic Bank www.xmtraders.comments on the latest tariffs in Europe and the United States (1)

On Saturday, U.S. President Trump announced that he would impose an additional 10% punitive tariff on eight European countries, including Denmark, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom, until an agreement is reached for the United States to acquire Greenland. This move marks that European and American trade relations have reached a freezing point.

The direct trigger of this crisis came from Trump’s public accusations. He claimed that the dispatch of troops by many European countries to Greenland blatantly hindered the United States' established plan to acquire the territory through purchase, military takeover or other means.

The current background shows that when Europe and the United States reached a trade agreement last summer, a 15% tariff base already existed. According to the latest arrangement:

Phase One (February 1): If the additional 10% tariff is added, the total tariff faced by the above eight countries will rise to 25%.

The second phase (June 1): The 10% new tariff will be raised to 25%, and the total tax rate will be as high as 40%.

In the European Union, the European Parliament is urgently negotiating a retaliatory tariff list worth 93 billion euros. The EU may use "anti-coercion tools" for the first time to restrict US access to the EU's single market. A trade deal signed last year to lift tariffs on U.S. industrial goods and some agricultural products is now on the verge of collapse. The EPP, the EU's largest political faction, has made it clear that it is currently unable to ratify the agreement.

The above content is all about "[XM Group]: Greenland tariff tag invalid? The market logic behind the "immunity" of European and American exchange rates". It was carefully www.xmtraders.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

Spring, summer, autumn and winter, every season is a beautiful scenery, and they all stay in my heart forever. Slip away~~~

Unless otherwise specified, all articles are original creations of this websiteIf reproduced, please indicate the source: XM Forex

Article address:https://www.xmtraders.com/en/news/63500.html

Previous：Tariff announcement detonates gold prices, Greenland stirs up trouble again, Hassett’s position remains to be resolved Next：Attention, gold is still afraid of breaking high!

Disclaimers: XM Group only provides execution services and access permissions for online trading platforms, and allows individuals to view and/or use the website or the content provided on the website, but has no intention of making any changes or extensions, nor will it change or extend its services and access permissions. All access and usage permissions will be subject to the following terms and conditions: (i) Terms and conditions; (ii) Risk warning; And (iii) a complete disclaimer. Please note that all information provided on the website is for general informational purposes only. In addition, the content of all XM online trading platforms does not constitute, and cannot be used for any unauthorized financial market trading invitations and/or invitations. Financial market transactions pose significant risks to your investment capital.

All materials published on online trading platforms are only intended for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered for financial, investment tax, or trading related consulting and advice, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related trading offers or invitations.

All content provided by XM and third-party suppliers on this website, including opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, other information, and third-party website links, remains unchanged and is provided as general market commentary rather than investment advice. All materials published on online trading platforms are only for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered as applicable to financial, investment tax, or trading related advice and recommendations, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related financial offers or invitations. Please ensure that you have read and fully understood the information on XM's non independent investment research tips and risk warnings. For more details, please click here

Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market analysis

Greenland tariff tag expires? An exploration of the market logic behind the "immunity" of European and American exchange rates

Asian Market Trends

Summary of institutional views

Related News

Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market analysis

Greenland tariff tag expires? An exploration of the market logic behind the "immunity" of European and American exchange rates

Asian Market Trends

Summary of institutional views

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason