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market analysis
The US government has entered a state of shutdown, and the "small non-agricultural" is significantly lower than expected!
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Official Website]: The US government has entered a closed state, and the "small non-agricultural" is significantly lower than expected!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Global Market List
On Wednesday, although "small non-agricultural" was significantly lower than expected, the US dollar index generally maintained a range fluctuation, and eventually fell slightly by 0.09% to 97.73. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.102%, while the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 3.537%.
Spot gold continued to exert its strength during the European session, and then refreshed its historical high to above $3,890, but then fell back to around $3,860 and fluctuated, finally closing up 0.19%, closing at $3,865.43/ounce; New York gold futures once stood above the $3,900/ounce integer mark during the session, setting a new record high; spot silver rushed to $47, and rose to the intraday high of $47.82, a 14-year high, and finally closed up 1.44%, at $47.31/ounce.
Crude oil fell for the third consecutive day. WTI crude oil fell more than 1% intraday, and fell to an intraday low of $61.21 intraday, finally closing down 1.03% to $61.58/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 1.04% to $65.26/barrel.
Overnight market inventory
U.S. stocks: The three major U.S. stock indexes closed slightly higher, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.09%, the S&P 500 rose 0.34%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.42%. Intel (INTC.O) rose 7.12%, while Tesla (TSLA.O), ASML.O, and TSMC (TSM.N) rose about 3.5%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 1.44%, Baidu (BIDU.O) rose 4.3%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) rose 2.25%.
European stocks: European major stock indexes closed higher across the board, Germany's DAX30 index closed up 0.98%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closed up 1.03%; Europe's Stoke 50 index closed up 0.96%.
Hong Kong stocks and A-shares will be closed due to the National Day holiday.
Domestic Market News
1. Chinese Ambassador to the United States Xie Feng: China and the United States should extend the list of cooperation, and equality, respect and reciprocity are the best way to deal with the problem.
2. China Index Academy: The total land acquisition of key real estate www.xmtraders.companies in the first nine months increased by 36.7% year-on-year.
3. On the first day of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the national railway is expected to send 23 million passengers.
4. The Chinese Coast Guard conducts law enforcement patrols in the territorial waters of Huangyan Island and surrounding areas.
5. Hefei City’s new housing provident fund policy: the recognition of first homes is relaxed and the proportion of www.xmtraders.combination loans is optimized.
6. A key breakthrough has been made in the construction of the BEST project of the www.xmtraders.compact fusion energy experimental device located in Hefei, Anhui.
7. You can also settle in Xiamen for renting a house: social security in the four districts outside the island has been paid for 3 consecutive months and residence registration has been www.xmtraders.completed for half a year.
8. The September report card of the new car-making forces was released: Xiaomi surpassed Ideal and NIO, and Xiaopeng's monthly delivery volume exceeded 40,000 for the first time.
9. BYD Co., Ltd.: The total sales of new energy vehicles in September were 396,270, www.xmtraders.compared with 419,426 vehicles in the same period last year; the cumulative sales of this year were 3,260,146 vehicles, a cumulative year-on-year increase of 18.64%.
10. The box office of the 2025 National Day period exceeded 300 million, and the box office of the first day exceeded 200 million.
11. Many of Greenjie qualifications have been suspended, and Guangming Group will take over the campus catering business.
International Market News
1. The number of ADP employment in the United States, known as the "small non-agricultural", decreased by 32,000 in September, the largest decline since March 2023, and an increase of 50,000 lower than market expectations. Traders raised bets on the Fed's two further interest rate cuts this year.
2. The US government is closed, and the Senate once again rejects the temporary appropriation bill, and will suspend voting on the 2nd; US Vice President Vance: He does not believe that the government shutdown will last for a long time; during this period, the Trump administration prioritizes ensuring that "regular energy" work continues.
3. Fitch: The shutdown of the US government will not have an impact on the US sovereign rating in the short term; S&P: The shutdown of the US government may drag down GDP by 0.1-0.2 percentage points per week.
4. White House Office of Management and Budget Water: The $18 billion in infrastructure funding has been suspended in New York City.
5. The U.S. Supreme Court refused to allow Trump to immediately remove Fed Director Cook, and the Supreme Court will hold a hearing on the removal case in January next year.
6. According to Politico: Trump has postponed drug tariffs to negotiate drug prices, and was originally scheduled to impose triple-digit tariffs on drug imports from Wednesday.
7. Trump nominated acting FDIC chairman Hill as head of the agency.
8, people familiar with the matter: The European www.xmtraders.commission plans to cut foreign steel quotas by nearly half in the new safeguards plan. The European www.xmtraders.commission plans to raise foreign steel import tariffs to similar levels as those of the United States and Canada.
9. British media: The British Ministry of Finance plans to implement stamp duty exemptions on new listed www.xmtraders.companies on the London Stock Exchange.
10. The Italian budget draft shows that the country's fiscal deficit ratio in 2025 has hit the EU's upper limit of 3%.
11. The United States and South Korea reached a foreign exchange agreement: agree to avoid manipulating foreign exchange rates and will conduct regular foreign exchange intervention operations every month.
12. South Korea's Presidential Office: Google is negotiating with two or three Korean www.xmtraders.companies on artificial intelligence cooperation.
13. OpenAI seeks to order 900,000 memory chips in 2029.
14. Intel is considering including AMD as its foundry customers, and the cooperation is still in its initial stages.
15. Google cuts employees in the cloud department.
16. Tesla's market value exceeds US$1.5 trillion, and Musk became the world's first rich man to have a net worth of over US$500 billion.
Today's major financial data and events
①Pre-determined European Political www.xmtraders.community Summit was held
②14:30 Swiss September CPI monthly rate
③17:00 Eurozone August unemployment rate
④19:30 US September challenger www.xmtraders.companies layoffs
⑤20:30 US initial request for unemployment benefits in the week from the United States to September 27
⑥2 2:00 Monthly rate of factory orders in the United States in August
⑦22:30 EIA natural gas inventory in the week from the United States to September 26
⑧22:30 Federal Reserve Logan delivered a speech
The above content is about "[XM Forex Official Website]: The US government has entered a closed state, and "small non-agricultural" is significantly lower than expected!", which was carefully www.xmtraders.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!
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